The Learning Center

Our Learning Center ensures that every reader has a resource that helps them establish and maintain a competitive advantage, or leadership position. For instance, loan originators and brokers will have one-click access to resources that will help them increase their productivity. Search topics by category and keyword and generate free videos, webinars, white papers and other resources. If you would like to add your content to the learning center, please click here  or email Tim Murphy at [email protected].

tim

tim

Ed McDonnell Named to DirecFunds Board of Directors

CINCINNATI   September 23, 2022 — Digital payment solution provider DirecFunds has named real estate services veteran Ed McDonnell to its Board of Directors.

DirecFunds is the developer of an electronic payment system designed to eliminate wire fraud in business transactions by delivering a reliable, secure environment in which funds move safely and quickly. The technology serves multiple industries, including mortgage, real estate and settlement services.

McDonnell is the CEO and Founder of Columbia, South Carolina-based McDonnell and Associates, a multi-state general practice law firm with an emphasis on real estate law, title development and settlement services. He is also the Owner/President of real estate-focused businesses ProcessFast and Boomerang Title. He has served the financial services industry for over 20 years, with much of that experience focused on the closing and settlement phase of the mortgage transaction.

“Cyber criminals have found the real estate industry to be an easy and rewarding target in recent years, which has resulted in the loss of millions of dollars,” said McDonnell. “DirecFunds has developed a solution that will dramatically improve the way real estate, mortgage and title businesses protect themselves, clients, buyers and sellers from fraud risks, and it’s a privilege to be a part of that process.”

For more information, go to About.DirecFunds.com. 

 

About DirecFunds

 

Cincinnati-based DirecFunds is a leading payment solution technology provider dedicated to delivering an answer to the ever-growing threat of wire fraud. Its digital payment platform and cloud-based infrastructure allow consumers and businesses to transfer funds easily, reliably, quickly and, above all, securely. DirecFunds envisions a world where e-commerce can thrive without the threat of financial loss during a monetary transaction. Its understanding of its clients and their industries enables a solution that simply makes sense, and is not reliant on a heavy investment of time and money from users. Learn more at About.DirecFunds.com.

Read more...

Homebuyer Affordability Improved for Third Straight Month in August

WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 22, 2022) – Homebuyer affordability improved for the third straight month in August, with the national median payment applied for by applicants decreasing to $1,839 from $1,844 in July. This is according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI), which measures how new monthly mortgage payments vary across time – relative to income – using data from MBA’s Weekly Applications Survey (WAS).

“Most of the country saw modest improvements in homebuyer affordability for the third straight month because of slightly lower mortgage rates amidst steady income growth. The healthy labor market continues to be a positive for the housing market, despite ongoing economic uncertainty and high inflation,” said Edward Seiler, MBA's Associate Vice President, Housing Economics, and Executive Director, Research Institute for Housing America. “Higher mortgage rates have reduced borrowers’ purchasing power since the start of the year. The median loan amount in August was $313,500, down from a peak of $340,000 in February.” 

Added Seiler, “The recent stretch of modest affordability improvement likely hit a speedbump this month, as mortgage rates have jumped above 6 percent.”  

An increase in MBA’s PAPI – indicative of declining borrower affordability conditions – means that the mortgage payment to income ratio (PIR) is higher due to increasing application loan amounts, rising mortgage rates, or a decrease in earnings. A decrease in the PAPI – indicative of improving borrower affordability conditions – occurs when loan application amounts decrease, mortgage rates decrease, or earnings increase.

The national PAPI (Figure 1) decreased 0.3 percent to 157.9 in August from 158.3 in July, meaning payments on new mortgages take up a smaller share of a typical person’s income. Compared to August 2021 (115.7), the index has jumped 36.5 percent. For borrowers applying for lower-payment mortgages (the 25th percentile), the national mortgage payment between July and August 2022 was unchanged at $1,210.

Additional Key Findings of MBA's Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) – August 2022

  • The national median mortgage payment was $1,839 in August, down from $1,844 in July and $1,893 in June. Monthly payments are still up by $456 in the first eight months of the year – equal to a 33.0% increase.
  • Out of 50 states (and Washington, D.C.), 32 had lower PAPI values in August than in July. This includes six of the top 10 states with the highest PAPI values.
  • The national median mortgage payment for FHA loan applicants was $1,469 in August, up from $1,461 in July, and up from $1,009 in August 2021.
  • The national median mortgage payment for conventional loan applicants was $1,901, up from $1,892 in July, and up from $1,350 in August 2021.
  • The top five states with the highest PAPI were: Idaho (257.5), Nevada (249.4), Arizona (224.2), Utah (213.3), and California (202.4).
  • The top five states with the lowest PAPI were: Washington, D.C. (101.0), Alaska (108.2), Connecticut (108.9), Louisiana (110.5), and Oklahoma (120.1).
  • Homebuyer affordability increased slightly for Black households, with the national PAPI decreasing from 153.7 in July to 153.3 in August.
  • Homebuyer affordability increased slightly for Hispanic households, with the national PAPI decreasing from 149.6 in July to 149.2 in August.
  • Homebuyer affordability increased slightly for White households, with the national PAPI decreasing from 159.1 in July to 158.7 in August.
Read more...

Economic Indicators Continue to Point to Likely Recession in 2023

Housing Expected to Cool Even Further as Mortgage Rates Move Higher

WASHINGTON, DC – September 21, 2022 – Economic growth is projected to resume in the second half of 2022, but the combination of high inflation, monetary policy tightening, and a slowing housing market is likely to tip the economy into a modest recession in the new year, according to the September 2022 commentary from the Fannie Mae (FNMA/OTCQB) Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group. The ESR Group continues to forecast 0.0 percent real GDP growth on a full-year basis through 2022, but it revised downward its expectations for full-year 2023 growth by one-tenth of a percentage point to negative 0.5 percent. Core inflation remains considerably higher than the Federal Reserve’s stated target; as such, the ESR Group maintained its expectation that the Federal Open Market Committee will raise the federal funds rate by 75 basis points at its September meeting. The ESR Group’s baseline forecast anticipates the federal funds rate topping out at a range of 3.50 to 3.75 percent in early 2023, though it sees significant upside risk to the eventual terminal rate. 

Due largely to the higher mortgage rate environment, the ESR Group lowered its forecast for single-family total home sales in 2022 and 2023 to 5.71 million and 4.98 million, which would represent declines of 17.2 percent and 12.8 percent, respectively. While multifamily construction remains strong, the ESR Group also revised downward its multifamily starts forecast for 2022 to 542,000 units but continues to expect demand for rental units to remain strong because of the single-family market’s relative unaffordability.

“In our view, the recent interest rate surge is due to the market’s recognition of two critical factors: that inflation is indeed not transitory, and that, to tame it, the Federal Reserve will need to be resolute, even at the risk of possible recession,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. “Inflation’s entrenchment – and the policy action likely required of the Fed – confirms the expectation in our forecast of a moderate recession beginning in the first quarter of 2023. That said, the rise in rates is having the Fed’s desired effect on housing, as house price growth began to slow in June. We expect the slowdown in housing to continue through 2023 as affordability constraints mount for potential homebuyers, and considering, too, that refinance activity has been significantly curtailed by the rise in mortgage rates.” 

Visit the Economic & Strategic Research site at fanniemae.com to read the full September 2022 Economic Outlook, including the Economic Developments CommentaryEconomic ForecastHousing Forecast, and Multifamily Market Commentary. To receive e-mail updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae’s Economic & Strategic Research Group, please click here.

Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views published by the ESR group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management. 

About the ESR Group

Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Doug Duncan, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumer and mortgage lender groups to provide forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets. The ESR Group was recently awarded the prestigious 2022 Lawrence R. Klein Award for Blue Chip Forecast Accuracy based on the accuracy of its macroeconomic forecasts published over the 4-year period from 2018 to 2021.

Read more...

FOLLOW US

PMG360 is committed to protecting the privacy of the personal data we collect from our subscribers/agents/customers/exhibitors and sponsors. On May 25th, the European's GDPR policy will be enforced. Nothing is changing about your current settings or how your information is processed, however, we have made a few changes. We have updated our Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy to make it easier for you to understand what information we collect, how and why we collect it.